Andre Drummond Under 17.5 Points (+118)
This pick had me torn because at first glance, this seems to be very low for a center as dominant as Drummond. Although, this is only his second game with the new team, so it is still unknown what to expect from him in the new system. With Tristan Thompson still on the team, it will be hard to see him taking on as large a role as he used to have with the Pistons. I think he will still produce heavily on the boards, but his scoring output could be a tick lower than it used to be. The Cavs center spot might very well depend on who has the hot hand, since Thompson might be one of the streakiest players to ever set foot on a court. Until Drummond proves he can produce in the new system, I’m not too hot on him.
Damontas Sabonis Under 36.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-121)
Sabonis is obviously having an outstanding year since he made the All Star game, which isn’t a participation trophy like the Pro Bowl has become. This Pacers team is also ridiculously deep, so it will be hard for him to blow up with a lot of points. Between Brogdon, Oladipo, Turner, and Warren, there are plenty of other people capable of stealing the show in this game. Regardless of the depth, Sabonis stuffs the stats pretty well, but he played 38 minutes last game. I doubt he plays that high volume in back to back. It doesn’t help that he’s playing the Bucks, the best team in the NBA. Even without the best player on Earth right now, they still carry a strong defensive team. For that reason, I have to take the under on this one.
Bam Adebayo Over 29.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-110)
Bam has really emerged this season as a very strong player, showcasing the skills everyone saw while he was at Kentucky. He won’t wow you with his stats all the time, but he does what a team needs to win, who wouldn’t love that? Well… pretty much any one who gambles on his props don’t love that. He’s one of those players that is fine with 10 points or 30 points, as long as the W is there. Even against Gobert, I expect him to be able to reach this number. His scoring might not carry him all the way, but his passing has been astounding lately. I expect him to have 8+rebounds and 7+ assists, meaning he only needs to muster 15 points. Hopefully this isn’t asking too much.
Devin Booker Over 1.5 Threes (-159)
Booker has not been outstanding lately. His made threes last game was equal to my roommates GPA, a fat 0. He is shooting just 12/35 (34%) from deep this month, which for someone who won the three point contest two years is just weird. On the bright side, the volume is there every single game, it’s very rare for him to be under five attempted threes in a game. That is where I think the value is, because all he needs is a 2/5 night. Oh and the Warriors D, that’s a recipe for high scoring game.
LeBron James Triple-Double (+350)
What fun is gambling without a little longshot bet? Even though it seems like Bron gets triple doubles every game, the odds for this are still +350 so sign me up. His passing is godly this year, and it has to be hard for him to not grab every single board out there. Especially against a good team like the Nuggets, I’m thinking Lebron will have an outstanding game. Have to mention the fact that the Brow is probable with a finger injury, since when is a god damn sprained finger enough to be listed on the injury report? Before you know it they’ll be forced to count all the bruises on a player and put that on the injury report too.
